Poster No:
2574
Submission Type:
Abstract Submission
Authors:
Hanwen Bi1,2, Robin Bülow3, Michele Deantoni4, David Elmenhorst5,6,7, Eva-Maria Elmenhorst8,9, Ralf Ewert10, Fabio Ferrarelli11, Stefan Frenzel12, Hans Grabe12,13, Felix Hoffstaedter1,2, Neda Jahanshad14, Ahmadreza Keihani11, Vincent Küppers6,1, Ahmad Mayeli11, Nasrin Mortazavi4, Gustav Nilsonne15,16, Julia Rupp11, Amin Saberi17,1,2, Christina Schmidt4,18, Kai Spiegelhalder19, Sandra Tamm15,16, Sophia Thomopoulos14, Paul Thompson14, Sofie Valk17,1,2, Gilles Vandewalle4, Antoine Weihs12,13, Joseph Wexler20,15, Katharina Wittfeld12, Simon Eickhoff1,2, Kaustubh Patil1,2, Federico Raimondo1,2, Masoud Tahmasian1,2,6
Institutions:
1Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich, Jülich, Germany, 2Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University, Düsseldorf, Germany, 3Institute of Diagnostic Radiology and Neuroradiology, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany, 4GIGA-Institute, Cyclotron Research Center/In Vivo Imaging, Sleep and Chronobiology Lab, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium, 5Research Center Jülich, Research Center Jülich, Jülich, Germany, 6Department of Nuclear Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany, 7Division of Medical Psychology, Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-University Bonn, Bonn, Germany, 8Department of Sleep and Human Factors Research, German Aerospace Center, Cologne, Germany, 9Institute for Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Medical Faculty, RWTH Aachen University, Aachen, Germany, 10Internal Medicine B, Pneumology, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany, 11Department of Psychiatry, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA, 12Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medicine Greifswald, Greifswald, Germany, 13German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Greifswald, Germany, 14Imaging Genetics Center, Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 15Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden, 16Department of Psychology, Stress Research Institute, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden, 17Otto Hahn Research Group for Cognitive Neurogenetics, Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences, Leipzig, Germany, 18Psychology and Neuroscience of Cognition Research Unit, Faculty of Psychology and Educational Sciences, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium, 19Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany, 20Department of Psychology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA
First Author:
Hanwen Bi
Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University
Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany
Co-Author(s):
Robin Bülow
Institute of Diagnostic Radiology and Neuroradiology, University Medicine Greifswald
Greifswald, Germany
Michele Deantoni
GIGA-Institute, Cyclotron Research Center/In Vivo Imaging, Sleep and Chronobiology Lab, University of Liège
Liège, Belgium
David Elmenhorst
Research Center Jülich, Research Center Jülich|Department of Nuclear Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne|Division of Medical Psychology, Rheinische Friedrich-Wilhelms-University Bonn
Jülich, Germany|Cologne, Germany|Bonn, Germany
Eva-Maria Elmenhorst
Department of Sleep and Human Factors Research, German Aerospace Center|Institute for Occupational, Social and Environmental Medicine, Medical Faculty, RWTH Aachen University
Cologne, Germany|Aachen, Germany
Ralf Ewert
Internal Medicine B, Pneumology, University Medicine Greifswald
Greifswald, Germany
Fabio Ferrarelli
Department of Psychiatry, University of Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Stefan Frenzel
Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medicine Greifswald
Greifswald, Germany
Hans Grabe
Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medicine Greifswald|German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE)
Greifswald, Germany|Greifswald, Germany
Felix Hoffstaedter
Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University
Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany
Neda Jahanshad, PhD
Imaging Genetics Center, Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California
Los Angeles, CA, USA
Ahmadreza Keihani
Department of Psychiatry, University of Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Vincent Küppers
Department of Nuclear Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne|Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich
Cologne, Germany|Jülich, Germany
Ahmad Mayeli
Department of Psychiatry, University of Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Nasrin Mortazavi
GIGA-Institute, Cyclotron Research Center/In Vivo Imaging, Sleep and Chronobiology Lab, University of Liège
Liège, Belgium
Gustav Nilsonne
Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet|Department of Psychology, Stress Research Institute, Stockholm University
Stockholm, Sweden|Stockholm, Sweden
Julia Rupp
Department of Psychiatry, University of Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh, PA, USA
Amin Saberi
Otto Hahn Research Group for Cognitive Neurogenetics, Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences|Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University
Leipzig, Germany|Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany
Christina Schmidt
GIGA-Institute, Cyclotron Research Center/In Vivo Imaging, Sleep and Chronobiology Lab, University of Liège|Psychology and Neuroscience of Cognition Research Unit, Faculty of Psychology and Educational Sciences, University of Liège
Liège, Belgium|Liège, Belgium
Kai Spiegelhalder
Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Medical Center - University of Freiburg, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg
Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany
Sandra Tamm
Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet|Department of Psychology, Stress Research Institute, Stockholm University
Stockholm, Sweden|Stockholm, Sweden
Sophia Thomopoulos
Imaging Genetics Center, Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California
Los Angeles, CA, USA
Paul Thompson, PhD
Imaging Genetics Center, Keck School of Medicine of University of Southern California
Los Angeles, CA, USA
Sofie Valk
Otto Hahn Research Group for Cognitive Neurogenetics, Max Planck Institute for Human Cognitive and Brain Sciences|Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University
Leipzig, Germany|Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany
Gilles Vandewalle
GIGA-Institute, Cyclotron Research Center/In Vivo Imaging, Sleep and Chronobiology Lab, University of Liège
Liège, Belgium
Antoine Weihs
Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medicine Greifswald|German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE)
Greifswald, Germany|Greifswald, Germany
Joseph Wexler
Department of Psychology, Stanford University|Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet
Stanford, CA, USA|Stockholm, Sweden
Katharina Wittfeld
Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University Medicine Greifswald
Greifswald, Germany
Simon Eickhoff
Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University
Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany
Kaustubh Patil
Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University
Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany
Federico Raimondo
Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University
Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany
Masoud Tahmasian
Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Brain and Behaviour (INM-7), Research Center Jülich|Institute of Systems Neuroscience, Medical Faculty and University Hospital Düsseldorf; Heinrich Heine University|Department of Nuclear Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne
Jülich, Germany|Düsseldorf, Germany|Cologne, Germany
Introduction:
Sleep disturbances potentially exacerbate cognitive decline and dementia[1],[2], necessitating large-scale studies to explore the neurobiological interplay between sleep and cognitive performance. While previous studies highlighted a non-linear relationship between sleep duration and cognitive performance, their effect size was small[3],[4], they used group comparison statistical approaches, focused on subjective sleep assessment, and were limited to a particular sample, limiting the generalizability of their findings in other samples. Machine learning (ML) methods enable individual-level predictions and can validate models on unseen data, providing a more robust analytical framework. Here, we performed ML analysis based on objective and subjective sleep measurements and brain structure data from the ENIGMA-Sleep working group[5] to predict cognitive performance.
Methods:
A total of 1,023 participants from SHIP-Trend[6] Greifswald (N=831) and Liege[7] (N=192) have been included. Sleep measurements were sleep duration and sleep efficiency extracted from Polysomnography data and Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index. Cognitive performance was measured using Stroop scores (SHIP-Trend and Liege) and N-back working memory (Liege). Subcortical volumes derived from the Aseg atlas via FreeSurfer for brain structure data[8]. In addition, age, sex, BMI, and depressive symptoms (Beck Depression Inventory-II) scores were added as model input as demographic/behavioral factors. Three machine learning models were utilized in this study: the support vector machine (SVM) with RBF kernel, random forest (RF), and AutoGluon[9]. These models were trained on the SHIP-Trend and Liege datasets separately using nested cross-validation, with the performance metrics being derived from the average results across this process (Figure 1A). Out-of-sample predictions were conducted by applying the models, which were trained on the SHIP-Trend dataset, to the Liege dataset (Figure 1B). The performance of ML models was evaluated by mean absolute error, mean squared error, R2, and Pearson correlation. Different feature combinations of sleep measurement, subcortical volume, and demographic/behavioral factors were used as model inputs. SHAP toolbox[10] was utilized for model explanation, elucidating the importance and influence of various features on the predictions.

·Machine learning pipeline for cognitive performance prediction in SHIP-Trend and Liege datasets
Results:
Sleep measurements and covariates predicted Stroop reaction times in SHIP-Trend (AutoGluon: R2=0.1308, Pearson correlation=0.3812) and interference scores in Liege (AutoGluon: R2=0.2716, Pearson correlation=0.5593) using SVM, RF, and AutoGluon (Figure 2A). The best performance was achieved when using sleep measurement, subcortical volumes, and covariates together in the SHIP-Trend dataset (AutoGluon: R2=0.1409, Pearson correlation=0.3959) (Figure 2B). In the out-of-sample validation using the AutoGluon model, although there was a strong correlation between the predicted values and the actual Stroop interference scores in the Liege dataset (Pearson correlation=0.4186) (Figure 2C), the R2 was adversely affected due to the differing scales of Stroop interference scores between the SHIP-Trend and Liege datasets. Across all models and both datasets, age emerged as a key predictive feature (Figure 2D). However, in the Liege dataset, the models were unable to predict working memory accuracy.

·Machine learning results
Conclusions:
Although the predictive strength is modest, non-linear ML models have a consistent and stable capacity to predict Stroop interference and reaction time scores using our input features across both samples. The SHAP findings showed that age was the most important contributing factor to our predictive model. Particularly, older individuals exhibiting shorter sleep durations and younger individuals with longer sleep durations contribute to prediction, indicating the complex relationships between sleep, brain, and aging to predict cognitive function at the individual subject level.
Lifespan Development:
Aging
Modeling and Analysis Methods:
Classification and Predictive Modeling 2
Neuroanatomy, Physiology, Metabolism and Neurotransmission:
Subcortical Structures
Perception, Attention and Motor Behavior:
Sleep and Wakefulness 1
Keywords:
Aging
Cognition
Machine Learning
Sleep
STRUCTURAL MRI
1|2Indicates the priority used for review
Provide references using author date format
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